Wallet ledger

0xc684…2228

This wallet's resolved record, plus a live snapshot of its current open positions. Public Polymarket data, descriptive only (not a skill claim).

No resolved record on file for this wallet yet.

The resolved record (positions, realized PnL, win rate, realized edge) is reconstructed by the analyzer. This wallet has not been analyzed yet, so there is nothing to show here. Run it through the analyzer and this tab fills in afterward.

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Current open positions

Live holdings snapshot from Polymarket right now (500 open). These are unsettled positions, not part of the resolved record above.


Will Kendrick Lamar be the top artist in the US for 2026? No	Open	22,793	90¢	$1.8K	+9%	2026-12-31
Will Shedeur Sanders be the Browns' Week 1 starting QB? No	Open	2,803	35¢	$1.1K	+107%	1970-01-01
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? Yes	Open	3,245	35¢	$470	+41%	1970-01-01
Will Drake be the top artist in the US for 2026? Yes	Open	2,397	61¢	$458	+31%	2026-12-31
Will Swim – BTS be the top song for 2026? No	Open	2,157	73¢	$456	+29%	2026-12-31
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes	Open	3,573	15¢	$351	+65%	2027-01-01
Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes	Open	1,437	31¢	$340	+77%	2027-03-14
Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No	Open	3,908	92¢	$298	+8%	2028-11-07
Will Bobby Witt Jr. win the 2026 American League MVP Award? No	Open	1,693	81¢	$283	+21%	2026-11-13
Will Houston Astros win the 2026 AL West title? Yes	Open	1,076	17¢	$239	+129%	2026-10-11
Will Zohran Mamdani be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee? No	Open	3,474	89¢	$227	+7%	2028-08-10
Will Dallas Wings win the 2026 WNBA Finals? No	Open	1,977	87¢	$223	+13%	2026-10-31
Will Will Venable win the 2026 AL Manager of the Year? Yes	Open	469	18¢	$209	+244%	2026-12-19
Will Aaron Judge win the 2026 American League MVP Award? No	Open	512	63¢	$190	+59%	2026-11-13
Will the Democratic Party win the AK-AL House seat? No	Open	1,936	83¢	$189	+12%	2026-11-03
Will Dan Koh be the Democratic nominee for MA-06? Yes	Open	602	59¢	$173	+48%	2026-09-15
Will Notre Dame Fighting Irish win the 2027 CFP National Championship? No	Open	1,776	78¢	$150	+11%	2027-01-26
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No	Open	676	63¢	$149	+35%	2028-11-07
Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award? No	Open	776	81¢	$128	+20%	2026-11-12
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No	Open	9,413	76¢	$127	+2%	2028-11-07
Will Chicago White Sox win the 2026 AL Central title? Yes	Open	281	19¢	$127	+234%	2026-10-11
Will Juan Soto win the 2026 National League MVP Award? No	Open	555	78¢	$121	+28%	2026-11-13
Will Nashville SC win the 2026 MLS Cup? Yes	Open	950	9¢	$116	+136%	2026-12-19
Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026? No	Open	758	75¢	$107	+19%	1970-01-01
Will the Chicago Cubs clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason? Yes	Open	300	61¢	$106	+58%	2026-09-28
Will Toronto Blue Jays win the 2026 American League Championship Series? No	Open	1,035	87¢	$106	+12%	2026-11-01
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? No	Open	2,373	15¢	$97	+27%	1970-01-01
Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship? No	Open	1,012	89¢	$97	+11%	2027-03-31
Will Indiana be a top 4 seed in the 2027 College Football Playoffs? Yes	Open	1,200	27¢	$95	+29%	1970-01-01
Will the Democrats win the Maine governor race in 2026? Yes	Open	180	44¢	$92	+116%	1970-01-01
Will Hunter Biden be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee? No	Open	541	83¢	$91	+20%	2028-08-10
Will Toronto Blue Jays win the 2026 AL East title? No	Open	1,275	90¢	$88	+8%	2026-10-11
Will Indiana Fever win the 2026 WNBA Finals? No	Open	2,064	82¢	$86	+5%	2026-10-31
Will the Republican Party win the CO-03 House seat? Yes	Open	147	9¢	$79	+595%	2026-11-04
Will Orlando City SC win the 2026 MLS Cup? No	Open	407	79¢	$77	+24%	2026-12-19
Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026? Yes	Open	286	63¢	$76	+43%	2026-12-31
Will "Arirang - BTS" be the top album for 2026? No	Open	226	56¢	$76	+60%	2026-12-31
Will the GTA 6 extended look be at least 30 minutes long? Yes	Open	1,553	29¢	$75	+17%	2026-08-27
Will Texas Tech be a top 4 seed in the 2027 College Football Playoffs? Yes	Open	1,063	13¢	$74	+54%	1970-01-01
Will Mike Thompson win the CA-04 House seat? No	Open	431	13¢	$73	+126%	2026-11-04
Will John E. Sununu be the Republican nominee for Senate in New Hampshire? Yes	Open	300	72¢	$72	+34%	2026-09-08
Will the Boston Red Sox clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason? Yes	Open	200	58¢	$71	+61%	2026-09-28
Will Matthew Stafford finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most passing yards? No	Open	241	61¢	$70	+48%	2027-01-12
Will Kanye West have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026? No	Open	426	81¢	$67	+19%	2026-12-31
Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? No	Open	679	87¢	$67	+11%	2026-10-10
Will Gunnar Henderson win the 2026 American League Hank Aaron Award? No	Open	105	35¢	$67	+182%	2026-11-13
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? No	Open	145	46¢	$66	+98%	2027-01-01
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes	Open	271	50¢	$65	+48%	2026-12-06
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? No	Open	760	79¢	$63	+11%	1970-01-01
Will Paul Skenes win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award? No	Open	174	64¢	$62	+56%	2026-11-12
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes	Open	1,355	12¢	$61	+38%	2027-05-30
Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award? No	Open	202	39¢	$61	+77%	2026-11-13
Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No	Open	150	59¢	$59	+67%	2026-10-27
Will Pete Fry win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election? Yes	Open	281	13¢	$55	+149%	2026-10-17
Will Minnesota Lynx win the 2026 WNBA Finals? Yes	Open	282	26¢	$54	+73%	2026-10-31
Will Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2026 NL Central title? No	Open	269	80¢	$54	+25%	2026-10-11
Will Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 AL Central title? No	Open	213	56¢	$50	+42%	2026-10-11
Will the SpaceX Starship launch from Florida by December 31, 2026? No	Open	169	46¢	$50	+65%	2027-01-01
Will Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026? Yes	Open	3,441	19¢	$49	+7%	2027-01-01
Insurrection Act invoked by December 31? No	Open	350	71¢	$48	+19%	2027-01-01
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes	Open	205	27¢	$48	+87%	1970-01-01
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? No	Open	144	37¢	$48	+90%	2026-12-31
Will Jose Soriano win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award? No	Open	420	89¢	$47	+13%	2026-11-12
Will Texas A&M be a top 4 seed in the 2027 College Football Playoffs? Yes	Open	1,166	12¢	$47	+33%	1970-01-01
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? Yes	Open	131	40¢	$46	+87%	2026-11-30
Will the Pittsburgh Pirates clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason? No	Open	185	73¢	$44	+33%	2026-09-28
Will the St. Louis Cardinals clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason? No	Open	217	73¢	$44	+28%	2026-09-28
Will the LA Clippers make the 2027 NBA Playoffs? No	Open	190	60¢	$44	+38%	1970-01-01
Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League Hank Aaron Award? Yes	Open	1,028	25¢	$44	+17%	2026-11-13
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? Yes	Open	989	22¢	$43	+20%	2027-01-01
Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026? Yes	Open	283	72¢	$41	+20%	1970-01-01
Will Bad Bunny be named People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026? Yes	Open	234	10¢	$41	+176%	2026-12-31
SCOTUS grants Trump Birthright Citizenship Rehearing by December 31? No	Open	270	84¢	$41	+18%	2026-12-31
Will Chad Tracy be the next Red Sox manager? Yes	Open	175	46¢	$40	+49%	2027-02-01
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? No	Open	188	77¢	$39	+27%	2026-10-10
Will the Democrats win the Rhode Island governor race in 2026? Yes	Open	225	80¢	$38	+21%	1970-01-01
Will Drop Dead – Olivia Rodrigo be the top song for 2026? No	Open	200	81¢	$38	+23%	2026-12-31
Will Sal Stewart win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award? Yes	Open	175	15¢	$37	+140%	2026-12-19
Will América win the 2026 Liga MX Apertura? Yes	Open	420	17¢	$35	+49%	2026-12-13
Will Atlanta Braves win the 2026 National League Championship Series? No	Open	270	77¢	$35	+17%	2026-11-01
Will New York Liberty win the 2026 WNBA Finals? No	Open	251	78¢	$35	+18%	2026-10-31
Will Ro Khanna be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee? No	Open	494	89¢	$35	+8%	2028-08-10
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska governor race in 2026? Yes	Open	202	75¢	$34	+23%	1970-01-01
Will Taylor Swift be the #1 searched person on Google this year? No	Open	75	51¢	$34	+88%	2026-12-31
Will Blake Miguez be the Republican nominee for LA-05? No	Open	176	80¢	$33	+24%	2026-05-16
Will the Athletics clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason? No	Open	186	80¢	$33	+22%	2026-09-28
Will LSU be a top 4 seed in the 2027 College Football Playoffs? Yes	Open	1,364	11¢	$33	+22%	1970-01-01
Will Palmeiras win Brazil Série A? Yes	Open	100	17¢	$33	+194%	2026-12-16
Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? Yes	Open	242	17¢	$32	+76%	2026-08-11
Will J.D. Vance be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee? No	Open	332	83¢	$31	+11%	2028-08-14
Will Cristopher Sanchez win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award? No	Open	82	61¢	$31	+62%	2026-11-12
Will Zach Bryan have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026? No	Open	247	82¢	$30	+15%	2026-12-31
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? No	Open	143	48¢	$30	+44%	2026-09-16
Will Drake be the second most streamed artist for 2026? Yes	Open	154	53¢	$30	+37%	2027-01-01
Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026? Yes	Open	701	33¢	$29	+13%	2026-12-31
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves make the 2027 NBA Playoffs? Yes	Open	97	55¢	$29	+55%	1970-01-01
Will the Washington Nationals clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason? No	Open	183	84¢	$28	+18%	2026-09-28
Will the Utah Jazz make the 2027 NBA Playoffs? Yes	Open	223	25¢	$28	+50%	1970-01-01
Will Doja Cat have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026? No	Open	161	73¢	$28	+24%	2026-12-31
Will Oprah Winfrey be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee? No	Open	200	86¢	$26	+15%	2028-08-10
Will Nolan McLean win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award? No	Open	140	79¢	$26	+23%	2026-12-19
Will Cincinnati Bengals win the 2026 AFC North? No	Open	194	53¢	$25	+25%	2027-01-04
Will Atlanta Dream win the 2026 WNBA Finals? No	Open	281	81¢	$25	+11%	2026-10-31
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? No	Open	1,125	30¢	$25	+8%	2029-01-20
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August? No	Open	280	30¢	$25	+30%	2026-09-01
Will Caleb Wilson win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? Yes	Open	544	16¢	$25	+28%	2027-05-31
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota governor race in 2026? Yes	Open	167	80¢	$24	+18%	1970-01-01
Will Kansas City Royals win the 2026 American League Championship Series? No	Open	162	85¢	$24	+18%	2026-11-01
Will Frank Ocean have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026? No	Open	150	76¢	$24	+21%	2026-12-31
Will Justin Crawford win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award? No	Open	100	76¢	$24	+31%	2026-12-19
Will Kareem Allam win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election? No	Open	92	60¢	$24	+43%	2026-10-17
Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? No	Open	112	60¢	$23	+34%	1970-01-01
Will Tom Pelphrey – “Task” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a drama series? Yes	Open	300	33¢	$23	+22%	2026-09-14
Will Travis Scott have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026? No	Open	81	60¢	$22	+46%	2026-12-31
Will Seth Moulton be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Massachusetts? No	Open	100	73¢	$21	+29%	2026-09-01
Will Mike Trout win the 2026 AL Comeback Player of the Year award? No	Open	49	54¢	$21	+77%	2026-12-19
Will JJ Wetherholt win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award? No	Open	176	40¢	$20	+29%	2026-12-19
Will Joe Strada be the FL-11 Republican nominee? Yes	Open	70	68¢	$20	+43%	2026-08-18
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee? No	Open	451	93¢	$20	+5%	2028-08-14
Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026? Yes	Open	600	7¢	$20	+48%	2027-01-01
Will Denny Hamlin win the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series championship? Yes	Open	130	30¢	$20	+52%	2026-11-08
Will Philadelphia Eagles win the 2026 NFC East? No	Open	284	53¢	$20	+13%	2027-01-04
Will Andrew Painter win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award? No	Open	112	82¢	$20	+22%	2026-12-19
Will Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 American League Championship Series? Yes	Open	250	13¢	$20	+62%	2026-11-01
Will the Democrats win the Kansas governor race in 2026? No	Open	204	56¢	$19	+17%	1970-01-01
Will Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship? Yes	Open	254	8¢	$19	+94%	2027-01-25
Will "Disclosure Day" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? No	Open	155	71¢	$19	+17%	2027-01-21
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No	Open	150	39¢	$19	+32%	1970-01-01
Will Yoshinobu Yamamoto win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award? No	Open	107	82¢	$19	+21%	2026-11-12
Will "Digger" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? No	Open	179	26¢	$18	+39%	2027-01-21
Will Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 NL East title? Yes	Open	848	29¢	$18	+7%	2026-10-11
Will Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 AL East title? No	Open	202	91¢	$18	+10%	2026-10-11
Will Konnor Griffin win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award? No	Open	94	81¢	$18	+24%	2026-12-19
Will Mark Sutcliffe win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election? No	Open	209	27¢	$18	+31%	2026-10-26
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? Yes	Open	202	79¢	$18	+11%	1970-01-01
Will Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 NL Central title Yes	Open	69	64¢	$18	+40%	2026-10-11
Will Brayden Burries win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? No	Open	100	82¢	$18	+21%	2027-05-31
Will Movimento Democrático Brasileiro (MDB) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election? No	Open	550	80¢	$17	+4%	2026-10-04
Will Houston Astros win the 2026 AL West title? No	Open	100	43¢	$17	+40%	2026-10-11
Will Tarik Skubal win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award? No	Open	185	91¢	$17	+10%	2026-11-12
Will Josh Shapiro be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee? No	Open	200	87¢	$17	+10%	2028-08-10
Will Jeromie Whalen be the MA-01 Democratic nominee? Yes	Open	150	5¢	$17	+213%	2026-09-01
Will Rueben Bain Jr. win the 2026 NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season? No	Open	133	73¢	$17	+17%	2027-02-11
Will Indianapolis Colts win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship? No	Open	219	89¢	$17	+9%	2027-01-25
Will Inter Miami CF win the 2026 MLS Cup? No	Open	262	73¢	$17	+9%	2026-12-19
Will A'ja Wilson win the 2026 WNBA MVP award? Yes	Open	171	77¢	$16	+12%	2026-09-25
Will Mark Lynch be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? No	Open	104	85¢	$16	+18%	2026-08-11
Will Kevin McGonigle win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award? Yes	Open	75	63¢	$16	+33%	2026-12-19
Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania? No	Open	250	47¢	$16	+13%	2026-12-31
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee? No	Open	406	86¢	$16	+4%	2028-08-10
Will the Houston Astros hit the most home runs in the 2026 MLB regular season? No	Open	114	80¢	$16	+17%	2026-10-11
Will Kevin Cash win the 2026 AL Manager of the Year? No	Open	65	67¢	$15	+35%	2026-12-19
Will the Democrats win the South Dakota governor race in 2026? No	Open	195	88¢	$15	+9%	1970-01-01
Will the Republicans win the Oklahoma governor race in 2026? Yes	Open	121	84¢	$15	+14%	1970-01-01
Will the Republicans win the Tennessee governor race in 2026? Yes	Open	100	82¢	$14	+18%	1970-01-01
Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026? Yes	Open	110	82¢	$14	+16%	1970-01-01
Will Drew Mestemaker be the first overall pick in the 2027 Pro Football Draft? No	Open	150	87¢	$14	+10%	2027-04-23
Will Digger win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? No	Open	138	85¢	$13	+11%	2027-03-14
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes	Open	87	47¢	$13	+32%	2026-10-04
Will New Orleans Saints win the 2026 NFC South? Yes	Open	361	24¢	$13	+15%	2027-01-04
Will Dante Moore be the first overall pick in the 2027 Pro Football Draft? No	Open	94	77¢	$13	+17%	2027-04-23
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No	Open	750	51¢	$12	+3%	2028-11-07
Will the Houston Astros clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason? Yes	Open	198	42¢	$12	+15%	2026-09-28
Will Ron DeSantis be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee? No	Open	203	92¢	$12	+7%	2028-08-14
Will the Philadelphia Phillies clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason? Yes	Open	85	77¢	$12	+18%	2026-09-28
Will the Republican Party win the CT-05 House seat? No	Open	100	83¢	$12	+14%	2026-11-04
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026? No	Open	69	75¢	$12	+23%	2026-12-31
Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? Yes	Open	200	11¢	$12	+54%	2026-12-19
Will Chicago White Sox win the 2026 American League Championship Series? No	Open	150	83¢	$11	+9%	2026-11-01
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 30? Yes	Open	150	82¢	$11	+9%	2026-10-01
Will Lyric Medeiros come in second-place on Big Brother season 28? No	Open	100	86¢	$11	+12%	2026-10-01
Will Raphael Warnock be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee? No	Open	255	91¢	$11	+5%	2028-08-10
Will the Republican Party win the AK-AL House seat? Yes	Open	55	69¢	$10	+27%	2026-11-03
US military draft authorized in 2026? No	Open	196	90¢	$10	+6%	2026-12-31
Will José Caballero lead the MLB in stolen bases for the 2026 regular season? No	Open	244	93¢	$10	+5%	2026-09-28
Will the Republican Party win the CA-27 House seat? No	Open	86	83¢	$10	+14%	2026-11-04
Will Green Bay Packers win the 2026 NFC North? No	Open	66	57¢	$10	+26%	2027-01-04
Will Michelle Bachelet be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations? No	Open	110	88¢	$10	+10%	2026-12-31
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? Yes	Open	338	66¢	$10	+4%	2026-08-11
Will Julianne Moore win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes	Open	270	23¢	$10	+16%	2027-03-14
Will the GTA 6 extended look be at least 15 minutes long? Yes	Open	150	80¢	$10	+8%	2026-08-27
Will New York Yankees win the 2026 AL East title? No	Open	77	57¢	$9	+21%	2026-10-11
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No	Open	960	51¢	$9	+2%	2027-01-01
Will the Republicans win the Pennsylvania governor race in 2026? No	Open	88	85¢	$9	+12%	1970-01-01
Will Yordan Alvarez win the 2026 AL Comeback Player of the Year award? Yes	Open	14	15¢	$9	+444%	2026-12-19
Will Partido Liberal (PL) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election? Yes	Open	59	62¢	$9	+25%	2026-10-04
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No	Open	102	87¢	$9	+10%	2026-10-28
Tobey Maguire as Spider-Man? Yes	Open	60	78¢	$9	+19%	2026-12-18
Will Monterrey win the 2026 Liga MX Apertura? No	Open	49	67¢	$9	+27%	2026-12-13
Will Bryan Woo win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award? No	Open	103	91¢	$9	+10%	2026-11-12
Will MacKenzie Gore win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award? No	Open	75	88¢	$9	+14%	2026-11-12
Will James Harden play for the San Antonio Spurs in 2026-27? No	Open	95	90¢	$9	+10%	2026-10-31
Will "Wild Horse Nine" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? No	Open	123	13¢	$9	+54%	2027-01-21
Tom Holland as Spider-Man? Yes	Open	38	31¢	$9	+73%	2026-12-18
Will Munetaka Murakami win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award? No	Open	89	79¢	$8	+12%	2026-12-19
Will Yordan Alvarez win the 2026 American League Hank Aaron Award? Yes	Open	70	77¢	$8	+16%	2026-11-13
Will New York Giants win the 2026 NFC East? No	Open	103	78¢	$8	+10%	2027-01-04
Will Marco Rubio be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee? Yes	Open	118	25¢	$8	+29%	2028-08-14
Will “Beef” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding limited or anthology series? Yes	Open	150	39¢	$8	+14%	2026-09-14
Will the Democrats win the Hawaii governor race in 2026? Yes	Open	105	89¢	$8	+9%	1970-01-01
Will Kamala Harris be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee? No	Open	126	93¢	$8	+7%	2028-08-10
Will Minnesota Twins win the 2026 AL Central title? Yes	Open	375	9¢	$8	+23%	2026-10-11
Will Ted Cruz be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee? No	Open	128	93¢	$8	+6%	2028-08-14
Will Michelle Obama be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee? No	Open	150	94¢	$8	+5%	2028-08-10
Will Las Vegas Raiders win the 2026 AFC West? No	Open	57	83¢	$7	+16%	2027-01-04
Freddie Mac IPO before 2027? No	Open	63	86¢	$7	+14%	2026-12-31
Will Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 American League Championship Series? No	Open	83	88¢	$7	+10%	2026-11-01
Will Utah be a top 4 seed in the 2027 College Football Playoffs? Yes	Open	111	4¢	$7	+160%	1970-01-01
Will Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? No	Open	71	84¢	$7	+12%	2027-01-25
Will Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 National League Championship Series? Yes	Open	100	12¢	$7	+57%	2026-11-01
Will Jeremy Strong be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? No	Open	30	66¢	$7	+36%	2027-01-21
Will Lil Baby have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026? No	Open	73	84¢	$7	+11%	2026-12-31
Will Byron Donalds be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee? No	Open	101	91¢	$7	+8%	2028-08-14
Will Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 AL East title? No	Open	242	40¢	$7	+7%	2026-10-11
Will Tim Walz win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Democratic primary election? No	Open	100	93¢	$6	+7%	2026-08-11
Will Raymond McKay be the Republican nominee for Senate in Rhode Island? Yes	Open	50	84¢	$6	+15%	2026-09-08
Will the Democratic Party win the PA-01 House seat? Yes	Open	30	31¢	$6	+68%	2026-11-04
Will SMU be a top 4 seed in the 2027 College Football Playoffs? Yes	Open	100	5¢	$6	+126%	1970-01-01
Will Chicago Bears win the 2026 NFC North? Yes	Open	98	15¢	$6	+42%	2027-01-04
Will Las Vegas Aces win the 2026 WNBA Finals? No	Open	55	76¢	$6	+15%	2026-10-31
Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-06 House seat? Yes	Open	58	72¢	$6	+15%	2026-11-04
Will Portland Fire win the 2026 WNBA Finals? No	Open	87	93¢	$6	+7%	2026-10-31
Will Stefany Shaheen be the Democratic nominee for NH-01? No	Open	50	34¢	$6	+35%	2026-09-08
Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement? Yes	Open	254	5¢	$6	+49%	2026-10-28
Will Skip Schumaker win the 2026 AL Manager of the Year? No	Open	78	91¢	$6	+8%	2026-12-19
Will Kyle Schwarber win the 2026 National League Hank Aaron Award? No	Open	55	76¢	$6	+14%	2026-11-13
Will the Detroit Lions make the 2027 NFL Playoffs? No	Open	50	24¢	$6	+48%	2027-01-05
Will the Memphis Grizzlies make the 2027 NBA Playoffs? No	Open	22	60¢	$6	+43%	1970-01-01
Will Notre Dame be a top 4 seed in the 2027 College Football Playoffs? Yes	Open	67	41¢	$6	+21%	1970-01-01
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? No	Open	110	56¢	$6	+9%	2027-05-30
Will Alyssa Thomas have the highest assists per game in the WNBA 2026 regular season? Yes	Open	37	25¢	$5	+59%	2026-09-24
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? Yes	Open	47	56¢	$5	+21%	2026-09-16
Will Daylight Savings Time become permanent in the US in 2026? No	Open	32	68¢	$5	+25%	2026-12-31
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? No	Open	61	85¢	$5	+10%	2026-12-06
Will The Odyssey be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? No	Open	90	55¢	$5	+10%	2026-12-31
Will the Arizona Diamondbacks clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason? No	Open	62	62¢	$5	+13%	2026-09-28
Will Golden State Valkyries win the 2026 WNBA Finals? No	Open	124	88¢	$5	+4%	2026-10-31
Will Pittsburgh Steelers win the 2026 AFC North? Yes	Open	260	12¢	$5	+16%	2027-01-04
Will Tyler, The Creator have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026? No	Open	38	74¢	$5	+17%	2026-12-31
Will Waymo launch in Portland, OR by December 31 2026? Yes	Open	132	7¢	$5	+51%	2026-12-31
Will Minnesota Vikings win the 2026 NFC North? No	Open	54	75¢	$5	+11%	2027-01-04
Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be TIME Person of the Year 2026? No	Open	52	87¢	$5	+10%	2026-12-31
Will Tom Cruise win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes	Open	300	27¢	$5	+6%	2027-03-14
Will James Harden play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27? No	Open	30	85¢	$4	+18%	2026-10-31
Will the Democratic Party win the CO-08 House seat? Yes	Open	189	70¢	$4	+3%	2026-11-04
Will Boston Red Sox win the 2026 American League Championship Series? No	Open	40	76¢	$4	+14%	2026-11-01
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? Yes	Open	278	59¢	$4	+3%	2026-12-09
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? No	Open	274	87¢	$4	+2%	2027-05-30
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-15 House seat? Yes	Open	54	45¢	$4	+17%	2026-11-04
Will Atlanta Braves win the 2026 NL East title? No	Open	639	31¢	$4	+2%	2026-10-11
Will Marco Rubio be TIME Person of the Year 2026? No	Open	62	88¢	$4	+7%	2026-12-31
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? No	Open	84	45¢	$4	+11%	1970-01-01
Will Justin Herbert win the 2026 NFL MVP? No	Open	113	85¢	$4	+4%	2027-02-15
Will Cory Booker be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee? No	Open	59	93¢	$4	+7%	2028-08-10
Will Michael B. Jordan be named People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026? Yes	Open	92	9¢	$4	+43%	2026-12-31
Will the Republican Party win the TX-32 House seat? No	Open	21	6¢	$4	+292%	2026-11-04
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026? Yes	Open	40	50¢	$4	+18%	1970-01-01
Will Jeremy Matlow win the Tallahassee mayoral election? Yes	Open	99	35¢	$4	+11%	2026-08-18
Will Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2026 AFC South? No	Open	38	60¢	$4	+16%	2027-01-04
Will Denver Broncos win the 2026 AFC West? No	Open	76	63¢	$3	+7%	2027-01-04
Will O'Neil Cruz win the 2026 NL Comeback Player of the Year award? No	Open	59	84¢	$3	+7%	2026-12-19
Will the Republican Party win the CA-13 House seat? No	Open	11	58¢	$3	+54%	2026-11-04
Will Makai Lemon win the 2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season? No	Open	40	83¢	$3	+10%	2027-02-11
Will Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship? Yes	Open	95	5¢	$3	+70%	2027-01-25
Will Baltimore Ravens win the 2026 AFC North? Yes	Open	34	39¢	$3	+24%	2027-01-04
Will the Washington Mystics make the 2026 WNBA Playoffs? Yes	Open	47	90¢	$3	+8%	2026-09-25
Will Tennessee be a top 4 seed in the 2027 College Football Playoffs? Yes	Open	141	7¢	$3	+30%	1970-01-01
Will "Dune: Part Three" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? No	Open	48	7¢	$3	+93%	2027-01-21
Will Dune: Part Three win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes	Open	61	8¢	$3	+60%	2027-03-14
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in August? Yes	Open	300	11¢	$3	+9%	2026-09-01
Will Garrett Crochet win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award? No	Open	10	70¢	$3	+43%	2026-11-12
Will Julian Sayin win the 2026 Heisman Trophy? No	Open	40	85¢	$3	+9%	1970-01-01
Will USC be a top 4 seed in the 2027 College Football Playoffs? Yes	Open	96	7¢	$3	+42%	1970-01-01
Will Corey Seager win the 2026 American League MVP Award? No	Open	30	90¢	$3	+11%	2026-11-13
Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher? Yes	Open	12	48¢	$3	+53%	2026-12-31
Will Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship? No	Open	30	77¢	$3	+12%	2027-01-25
Will Penn St. be a top 4 seed in the 2027 College Football Playoffs? Yes	Open	121	9¢	$3	+25%	1970-01-01
Will Big Tobacco buy Fre nicotine pouches? No	Open	55	81¢	$3	+6%	2026-12-31
Will Charlie Crist win the St. Petersburg mayoral election? Yes	Open	150	85¢	$3	+2%	2026-08-18
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Yes	Open	260	4¢	$3	+27%	2026-10-10
Will Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship? No	Open	21	82¢	$3	+15%	2027-01-25
Will the Atlanta Hawks make the 2027 NBA Playoffs? Yes	Open	73	55¢	$3	+6%	1970-01-01
Will Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship? Yes	Open	100	7¢	$2	+36%	2027-01-25
Will Taylor Swift be the top artist in the US for 2026? No	Open	18	79¢	$2	+17%	2026-12-31
Will Rebeca Grynspan be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations? Yes	Open	97	35¢	$2	+7%	2026-12-31
Will the Republican Party win the PA-17 House seat? No	Open	25	84¢	$2	+11%	2026-11-04
Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 Democratic vice-presidential nomination? No	Open	37	90¢	$2	+7%	2028-08-10
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-27 House seat? Yes	Open	20	83¢	$2	+14%	2026-11-04
Will Stephen Root – “Widow’s Bay” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a comedy series? Yes	Open	128	25¢	$2	+7%	2026-09-14
Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? No	Open	19	76¢	$2	+15%	2026-10-26
Will Tulsi Gabbard be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee? No	Open	25	87¢	$2	+10%	2028-08-14
Will Michigan be a top 4 seed in the 2027 College Football Playoffs? Yes	Open	62	7¢	$2	+50%	1970-01-01
Will Pittsburgh Steelers win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship? No	Open	25	89¢	$2	+10%	2027-01-25
Will Shawn Hatosy – “The Pitt” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a drama series? No	Open	100	83¢	$2	+3%	2026-09-14
Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? No	Open	25	34¢	$2	+25%	2026-11-07
Will the Milwaukee Bucks make the 2027 NBA Play-In Tournament? No	Open	5	54¢	$2	+77%	1970-01-01
Will Chris Sununu be the Republican nominee for Senate in New Hampshire? No	Open	22	90¢	$2	+11%	2026-09-08
Will the Republicans win the New Jersey Senate race in 2026? No	Open	35	91¢	$2	+6%	1970-01-01
Will the Democrats win the Oregon governor race in 2026? No	Open	100	12¢	$2	+17%	1970-01-01
Will Matthew Rhys – “Widow’s Bay” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actor in a comedy series? Yes	Open	12	74¢	$2	+23%	2026-09-14
Will Tom Cruise be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes	Open	130	59¢	$2	+3%	2027-01-21
Will Guadalajara win the 2026 Liga MX Apertura? Yes	Open	39	13¢	$2	+38%	2026-12-13
Will Melissa Hernandez win the CA-14 House seat? No	Open	296	83¢	$2	+1%	2026-11-03
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes	Open	3,800	2¢	$2	+3%	2028-11-07
MLB: Perfect Game thrown in 2026 season? Yes	Open	92	3¢	$2	+67%	1970-01-01
Will Solana reach $200 by December 31, 2026? Yes	Open	67	6¢	$2	+43%	2027-01-01
Will Texas Rangers win the 2026 AL West title? No	Open	174	73¢	$2	+1%	2026-10-11
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-22 House seat? Yes	Open	12	73¢	$2	+20%	2026-11-04
Will the Republicans win the Oregon governor race in 2026? Yes	Open	231	13¢	$2	+5%	1970-01-01
Will Puka Nacua finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most receiving yards? No	Open	5	55¢	$2	+57%	2027-01-12
Will “Widow’s Bay” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding comedy series? Yes	Open	323	54¢	$2	+1%	2026-09-14
Will New York Giants win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? No	Open	16	88¢	$1	+11%	2027-01-25
Will Julia Coleman be the Republican nominee for Senate in Minnesota? No	Open	14	90¢	$1	+11%	2026-08-11
Will Oregon be a top 4 seed in the 2027 College Football Playoffs? Yes	Open	93	42¢	$1	+4%	1970-01-01
Will Denver Outlaws be named the 2026 Premier League Lacrosse Champion? No	Open	29	86¢	$1	+5%	2026-09-14
Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? No	Open	29	77¢	$1	+6%	2026-12-31
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes	Open	227	8¢	$1	+6%	2026-12-06
Will Vladimir Guerrero Jr. win the 2026 American League MVP Award? No	Open	10	88¢	$1	+14%	2026-11-13
Will Seattle Seahawks win the 2026 NFC West? No	Open	34	65¢	$1	+5%	2027-01-04
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No	Open	233	71¢	$1	+1%	2026-12-09
Will Wild Horse Nine win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? No	Open	21	85¢	$1	+6%	2027-03-14
Will Ole Miss be a top 4 seed in the 2027 College Football Playoffs? Yes	Open	76	10¢	$1	+15%	1970-01-01
Will Seattle Mariners win the 2026 American League Championship Series? No	Open	9	80¢	$1	+16%	2026-11-01
Will the Washington Wizards make the 2027 NBA Playoffs? Yes	Open	72	25¢	$1	+6%	1970-01-01
Will Colorado Rockies win the 2026 National League Championship Series? No	Open	12	91¢	$1	+10%	2026-11-01
Will Dallas Stars be the 2027 NHL Western Conference Champion? No	Open	24	86¢	$1	+5%	2027-06-05
Will the Democratic Party win the PA-17 House seat? Yes	Open	9	77¢	$1	+16%	2026-11-04
Will Andrew Scott win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? No	Open	96	83¢	$1	+1%	2027-03-14
Will Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 National League Championship Series? Yes	Open	157	43¢	$1	+2%	2026-11-01
Brie Larson as Captain Marvel? No	Open	11	42¢	$1	+23%	2026-12-18
Will LSU Tigers win the 2027 CFP National Championship? No	Open	15	88¢	$1	+8%	2027-01-26
Will Jahmyr Gibbs finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most rushing yards? No	Open	20	80¢	$1	+6%	2027-01-12
Will Kirk Cousins be the Raiders' Week 1 starting QB? Yes	Open	6	72¢	$1	+24%	2026-09-14
Will New York Jets win the 2026 AFC East? No	Open	14	90¢	$1	+8%	2027-01-04
Jon Favreau as Happy Hogan? No	Open	11	51¢	$1	+17%	2026-12-18
Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-02 House seat? No	Open	11	55¢	$1	+15%	2026-11-04
Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement? No	Open	226	9¢	$1	+4%	2026-10-28
Will Houston Texans win the 2026 AFC South? No	Open	19	52¢	$1	+8%	2027-01-04
Will the Los Angeles Chargers make the 2027 NFL Playoffs? No	Open	150	35¢	$1	+1%	2027-01-05
Will Jalen Duren play for the Sacramento Kings in 2026-27? No	Open	5	86¢	$1	+16%	2026-10-31
Will Detroit Lions win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? No	Open	6	80¢	$1	+14%	2027-01-25
Will Javonte Williams finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most rushing yards? No	Open	18	89¢	$1	+4%	2027-01-12
Will John Mateer be the first overall pick in the 2027 Pro Football Draft? No	Open	11	90¢	$1	+6%	2027-04-23
Will the Republican Party win the TX-15 House seat? No	Open	9	45¢	$1	+14%	2026-11-04
Will Detroit Lions win the 2026 NFC North? No	Open	9	58¢	$1	+10%	2027-01-04
Will Patrick Ball – “The Pitt” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a drama series? Yes	Open	16	32¢	$1	+10%	2026-09-14
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes	Open	15	68¢	$1	+5%	2026-10-28
Will Gretchen Whitmer be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee? No	Open	6	84¢	$0	+10%	2028-08-10
Will Toy Story 5 win Best Animated Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes	Open	48	21¢	$0	+5%	2027-03-14
Hailee Steinfeld as Kate Bishop? Yes	Open	16	69¢	$0	+4%	2026-12-18
Will the Republican Party win the AZ-02 House seat? Yes	Open	17	61¢	$0	+4%	2026-11-04
Will BYU be a top 4 seed in the 2027 College Football Playoffs? Yes	Open	121	11¢	$0	+3%	1970-01-01
Will Ranger Suarez win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award? No	Open	4	91¢	$0	+10%	2026-11-12
Will Dylan Cease win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award? Yes	Open	78	35¢	$0	+1%	2026-11-12
Will Ken Sim win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election? Yes	Open	19	38¢	$0	+5%	2026-10-17
Will Drake Maye win the 2026 NFL MVP? No	Open	4	85¢	$0	+6%	2027-02-15
Will Nuisance Bear win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards? No	Open	20	86¢	$0	+1%	2027-03-14
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? Yes	Open	40	29¢	$0	+2%	2027-01-01
Will Katie Britt be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee? No	Open	4	91¢	$0	+4%	2028-08-14
Will San Jose Earthquakes win the 2026 MLS Cup? Yes	Open	271	2¢	$0	+3%	2026-12-19
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No	Open	55	79¢	$0	+0%	2028-11-07
Will Derrick Henry finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most rushing touchdowns? No	Open	8	84¢	$0	+2%	2027-01-12
Will the Orlando Magic make the 2027 NBA Play-In Tournament? Yes	Open	18	44¢	$0	+1%	1970-01-01
Will Oklahoma be a top 4 seed in the 2027 College Football Playoffs? Yes	Open	71	11¢	$0	+1%	1970-01-01
Will San Diego Padres win the 2026 National League Championship Series? Yes	Open	134	5¢	-$0	-0%	2026-11-01
Will Taylor Swift be the top artist for 2026? Yes	Open	194	4¢	-$0	-0%	2026-12-31
Will Don Mattingly be the next permanent manager of the Philadelphia Phillies? Yes	Open	52	23¢	-$0	-0%	2027-01-01
Will Alabama be a top 4 seed in the 2027 College Football Playoffs? Yes	Open	46	13¢	-$0	-1%	1970-01-01
Will Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026? No	Open	34	80¢	-$0	-0%	2027-01-01
Will the Phoenix Suns make the 2027 NBA Play-In Tournament? No	Open	14	53¢	-$0	-1%	1970-01-01
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No	Open	42	76¢	-$0	-1%	2026-10-28
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes	Open	81	31¢	-$0	-1%	1970-01-01
Will the Republican Party win the ME-02 House seat? Yes	Open	134	58¢	-$0	-0%	2026-11-03
Will Kate O’Flynn – “Widow’s Bay” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a comedy series? No	Open	19	36¢	-$0	-5%	2026-09-14
Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google this year? Yes	Open	75	12¢	-$0	-4%	2026-12-31
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes	Open	100	15¢	-$1	-3%	2027-05-30
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No	Open	98	63¢	-$1	-1%	1970-01-01
Will the Golden State Warriors make the 2027 NBA Play-In Tournament? No	Open	30	57¢	-$1	-4%	1970-01-01
Will Cleveland Browns win the 2026 AFC North? Yes	Open	156	4¢	-$1	-12%	2027-01-04
Will Bayern Munich be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion? No	Open	100	14¢	-$1	-7%	1970-01-01
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? Yes	Open	249	13¢	-$1	-3%	1970-01-01
Will Klay Thompson's next team be Miami Heat? Yes	Open	77	99¢	-$1	-1%	2026-10-20
Will the Republican Party win the AZ-06 House seat? Yes	Open	206	18¢	-$1	-3%	2026-11-04
Will Bad Bunny be the #1 searched person on Google this year? No	Open	217	88¢	-$1	-1%	2026-12-31
Will Inde Navarrette win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes	Open	29	22¢	-$1	-17%	2027-03-14
Will Robert Pattinson win Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes	Open	251	9¢	-$1	-5%	2027-03-14
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting? No	Open	88	79¢	-$1	-2%	2027-01-27
Will Flamengo win Brazil Série A? Yes	Open	17	55¢	-$1	-15%	2026-12-16
Will Cam Schlittler win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award? No	Open	71	40¢	-$1	-5%	2026-11-12
Will the Washington Wizards make the 2027 NBA Play-In Tournament? Yes	Open	61	32¢	-$2	-8%	1970-01-01
Will Miami (FL) be a top 4 seed in the 2027 College Football Playoffs? Yes	Open	401	23¢	-$2	-2%	1970-01-01
Will América win the 2026 Liga MX Apertura? No	Open	142	76¢	-$2	-2%	2026-12-13
Will the Democrats win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026? No	Open	116	6¢	-$2	-34%	1970-01-01
Will the Republicans win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026? No	Open	100	10¢	-$3	-25%	2026-11-03
Will the Republican Party win the PA-01 House seat? Yes	Open	28	53¢	-$3	-18%	2026-11-04
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No	Open	150	50¢	-$3	-4%	2026-10-27
Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League Hank Aaron Award? No	Open	200	72¢	-$3	-2%	2026-11-13
Will the Cincinnati Reds clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason? Yes	Open	150	5¢	-$4	-48%	2026-09-28
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in August? Yes	Open	300	8¢	-$4	-16%	2026-09-01
Will the #1 global Netflix show have at least 12 million views this week? Yes	Open	150	8¢	-$4	-31%	2026-08-25
Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026? No	Open	96	44¢	-$4	-9%	1970-01-01
Will Bobby Witt Jr. lead the MLB in stolen bases for the 2026 regular season? Yes	Open	131	9¢	-$4	-32%	2026-09-28
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No	Open	142	88¢	-$4	-3%	2028-11-07
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No	Open	133	32¢	-$4	-9%	1970-01-01
Will Ohio St. be a top 4 seed in the 2027 College Football Playoffs? Yes	Open	44	54¢	-$4	-18%	1970-01-01
Will the Democratic Party win the ME-02 House seat? No	Open	150	61¢	-$4	-5%	2026-11-03
Will Texas be a top 4 seed in the 2027 College Football Playoffs? Yes	Open	222	29¢	-$4	-7%	1970-01-01
Will Toronto Blue Jays win the 2026 American League Championship Series? Yes	Open	315	5¢	-$4	-30%	2026-11-01
Will Bitcoin hit $100k by December 31, 2026? No	Open	150	77¢	-$5	-4%	2027-01-01
Will Walt Weiss win the 2026 NL Manager of the Year? No	Open	87	80¢	-$5	-7%	2026-12-19
Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026? Yes	Open	467	12¢	-$5	-9%	1970-01-01
Halle Berry as Storm? Yes	Open	49	30¢	-$5	-35%	2026-12-18
Will the Republicans win the Minnesota governor race in 2026? Yes	Open	250	7¢	-$5	-30%	1970-01-01
Will the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026? Yes	Open	129	17¢	-$5	-26%	1970-01-01
Will Tyler Reddick win the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series championship? Yes	Open	150	9¢	-$6	-40%	2026-11-08
Will New York Yankees win the 2026 American League Championship Series? Yes	Open	236	27¢	-$6	-10%	2026-11-01
Will Solana reach $110 in August? No	Open	253	79¢	-$6	-3%	2026-09-01
Will the Democrats win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026? Yes	Open	455	8¢	-$7	-19%	2026-11-03
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes	Open	111	69¢	-$7	-9%	1970-01-01
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August? Yes	Open	2,281	20¢	-$7	-2%	2026-09-01
Will the Washington Nationals hit the most home runs in the 2026 MLB regular season? No	Open	84	78¢	-$7	-11%	2026-10-11
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes	Open	292	7¢	-$7	-38%	2027-01-01
Will the Bank of Canada decrease the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement? Yes	Open	292	4¢	-$7	-57%	2026-10-28
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire governor race in 2026? Yes	Open	56	30¢	-$8	-44%	1970-01-01
Will Boris Vallaud win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections? Yes	Open	50	25¢	-$8	-62%	2026-10-31
Will the Republican Party win the NY-03 House seat? Yes	Open	103	16¢	-$8	-50%	2026-11-04
Will Chris Sale win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award? Yes	Open	277	7¢	-$8	-45%	2026-11-12
Will Buffalo Bills win the 2026 AFC East? No	Open	962	45¢	-$8	-2%	2027-01-04
Will XRP reach $1.80 in August? Yes	Open	557	23¢	-$8	-7%	2026-09-01
Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026? No	Open	38	35¢	-$8	-64%	1970-01-01
Will the Republicans win the New Mexico governor race in 2026? Yes	Open	145	11¢	-$9	-55%	1970-01-01
Will Los Angeles FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? Yes	Open	288	13¢	-$9	-25%	2026-12-19
Will the Toronto Blue Jays clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason? No	Open	148	78¢	-$10	-8%	2026-09-28
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August? Yes	Open	2,409	36¢	-$10	-1%	2026-09-01
Will "Don't Say Good Luck" be the top global Netflix movie this week? No	Open	209	7¢	-$10	-67%	2026-08-25
Will Atlanta Falcons win the 2026 NFC South? Yes	Open	251	24¢	-$10	-17%	2027-01-04
Will Drake be the top artist for 2026? Yes	Open	166	12¢	-$11	-57%	2026-12-31
Don Cheadle as James Rhodes / War Machine? Yes	Open	49	43¢	-$11	-53%	2026-12-18
Will "The Odyssey" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? No	Open	130	12¢	-$11	-74%	2027-01-21
Will Yordan Alvarez win the 2026 American League MVP Award? No	Open	147	16¢	-$11	-49%	2026-11-13
Will Future have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026? Yes	Open	127	15¢	-$12	-65%	2026-12-31
Will Harrison Ford – “Shrinking” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a comedy series? Yes	Open	280	45¢	-$12	-10%	2026-09-14
Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the September decision? Yes	Open	175	11¢	-$12	-62%	2026-09-02
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? Yes	Open	277	12¢	-$13	-38%	2026-12-31
Will Allen Waters be the Republican nominee for Senate in Rhode Island? Yes	Open	523	5¢	-$13	-52%	2026-09-08
Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? Yes	Open	942	50¢	-$13	-3%	2027-05-30
Will the Cleveland Guardians clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason? No	Open	75	79¢	-$14	-23%	2026-09-28
Will Ed Markey be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Massachusetts? No	Open	100	20¢	-$15	-73%	2026-09-01
Will the Texas Rangers clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason? Yes	Open	127	51¢	-$15	-23%	2026-09-28
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-18 House seat? Yes	Open	800	93¢	-$15	-2%	2026-11-04
Will Big Tobacco buy Alp nicotine pouches? No	Open	62	83¢	-$15	-30%	2026-12-31
Will Aisha Wahab win the CA-14 House seat? Yes	Open	1,771	84¢	-$16	-1%	2026-11-03
Will Pete Crow-Armstrong win the 2026 National League Hank Aaron Award? No	Open	150	65¢	-$16	-17%	2026-11-13
Will Declan Rice win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year? Yes	Open	159	22¢	-$17	-48%	2026-08-31
California Immunology Research Bond Proposition Yes	Open	51	78¢	-$17	-43%	2026-11-03
Will the Seattle Mariners clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason? Yes	Open	46	74¢	-$17	-50%	2026-09-28
Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026? Yes	Open	259	12¢	-$17	-55%	1970-01-01
Will the Republicans win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes	Open	120	23¢	-$17	-63%	1970-01-01
Will Ethereum reach $6,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes	Open	250	11¢	-$18	-66%	2027-01-01
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes	Open	372	38¢	-$18	-13%	2026-10-04
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026? Yes	Open	161	53¢	-$20	-23%	1970-01-01
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes	Open	211	17¢	-$20	-57%	2027-01-01
Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026? Yes	Open	804	43¢	-$21	-6%	1970-01-01
Will J.J. McCarthy be the Vikings' Week 1 starting QB? Yes	Open	219	12¢	-$23	-84%	2026-09-14
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes	Open	144	31¢	-$23	-53%	2027-01-01
Will the Republican Party win the NC-11 House seat? Yes	Open	512	41¢	-$26	-12%	2026-11-04
Will Detroit Tigers win the 2026 AL Central title? Yes	Open	265	14¢	-$26	-68%	2026-10-11
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August? No	Open	2,154	81¢	-$28	-2%	2026-09-01
Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026? Yes	Open	232	38¢	-$28	-32%	1970-01-01
Will the Baltimore Orioles clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason? Yes	Open	150	29¢	-$28	-65%	2026-09-28
Will Seattle Mariners win the 2026 AL West title? Yes	Open	152	52¢	-$28	-36%	2026-10-11
Will Shedeur Sanders be the Browns' Week 1 starting QB? Yes	Open	1,534	29¢	-$30	-7%	1970-01-01
Will Jimmy Gomez win the CA-34 House seat? Yes	Open	422	20¢	-$31	-37%	2026-11-03
Will Bryce Eldridge win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award? Yes	Open	229	16¢	-$32	-88%	2026-12-19
Will the Republican Party win the TX-35 House seat? Yes	Open	400	53¢	-$36	-17%	2026-11-04
Will Solana reach $180 by December 31, 2026? Yes	Open	2,600	13¢	-$37	-11%	2027-01-01
Will the San Diego Padres clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason? No	Open	84	75¢	-$41	-65%	2026-09-28
Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026? No	Open	280	43¢	-$45	-38%	1970-01-01
Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026? Yes	Open	1,951	6¢	-$46	-40%	1970-01-01
Mark Ruffalo as Hulk? Yes	Open	176	54¢	-$50	-53%	2026-12-18
Will the Detroit Tigers clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason? Yes	Open	246	32¢	-$51	-65%	2026-09-28
Will the Republicans win the Maine governor race in 2026? Yes	Open	1,297	8¢	-$52	-48%	1970-01-01
Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026? Yes	Open	232	36¢	-$53	-64%	1970-01-01
Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year? Yes	Open	1,274	6¢	-$59	-71%	2026-08-31
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August? No	Open	1,189	69¢	-$62	-8%	2026-09-01
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? No	Open	1,527	75¢	-$63	-5%	2027-01-01
Will Nasim Nuñez lead the MLB in stolen bases for the 2026 regular season? No	Open	252	53¢	-$73	-54%	2026-09-28
Will the Democrats win the Oklahoma governor race in 2026? Yes	Open	1,883	8¢	-$74	-47%	1970-01-01
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No	Open	375	55¢	-$75	-36%	2026-12-31
Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? No	Open	134	98¢	-$97	-74%	2026-10-04
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August? Yes	Open	365	30¢	-$106	-96%	2026-09-01
Will Matt Damon win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes	Open	5,205	31¢	-$108	-7%	2027-03-14
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes	Open	14,201	21¢	-$127	-4%	2028-11-07
Will Rafael Grossi be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations? Yes	Open	520	45¢	-$148	-63%	2026-12-31
Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026? Yes	Open	3,786	10¢	-$225	-62%	2027-01-01
Will Amal Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election? Yes	Open	1,733	16¢	-$241	-87%	2026-05-31
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? Yes	Open	3,700	12¢	-$252	-55%	2027-05-30
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes	Open	13,508	11¢	-$569	-38%	2026-12-06
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes	Open	17,225	25¢	-$3.4K	-78%	2027-01-01
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? Yes	Open	20,016	35¢	-$5.0K	-71%	2027-01-01

Full skill analysis (Edge Score, calibration) →