ConvexlyWallet ledger
0x40cf…d21d
This wallet's resolved record, plus a live snapshot of its current open positions. Public Polymarket data, descriptive only (not a skill claim).
Resolved positions
113
Realized PnL
$68.1K
Win rate
45%
Realized edge
+0.055
Canonical resolved record reconstructed by the analyzer (the same numbers the analyzer and leaderboard report). Realized edge +0.055 across 113 resolved positions, 95% CI [-0.00, +0.11]. Descriptive diagnostics from settled public trades, not a skill claim and not a forecast.
Current open positions
Live holdings snapshot from Polymarket right now (56 open). These are unsettled positions, not part of the resolved record above.
| Open | 40,000 | 50¢ | $10.7K | +53% | 2028-11-07 | |
| Open | 12,000 | 51¢ | $2.0K | +33% | 2026-12-31 | |
| Open | 25,000 | 86¢ | $1.5K | +7% | 2027-01-01 | |
| Open | 5,782 | 18¢ | $1.0K | +100% | 2026-12-31 | |
| Open | 10,000 | 86¢ | $890 | +10% | 2027-01-01 | |
| Open | 4,000 | 65¢ | $700 | +27% | 2027-01-01 | |
| Open | 4,885 | 57¢ | $668 | +24% | 1970-01-01 | |
| Open | 1,908 | 51¢ | $662 | +68% | 2026-12-31 | |
| Open | 1,642 | 20¢ | $635 | +195% | 2026-12-31 | |
| Open | 8,745 | 87¢ | $572 | +7% | 2026-12-31 | |
| Open | 5,222 | 27¢ | $328 | +23% | 2026-10-01 | |
| Open | 5,000 | 7¢ | $325 | +93% | 2026-09-08 | |
| Open | 5,565 | 84¢ | $265 | +6% | 2026-11-03 | |
| Open | 2,278 | 76¢ | $246 | +14% | 2026-04-30 | |
| Open | 749 | 39¢ | $234 | +81% | 2027-07-01 | |
| Open | 9,340 | 7¢ | $216 | +31% | 2028-11-07 | |
| Open | 2,000 | 78¢ | $208 | +13% | 2026-11-03 | |
| Open | 592 | 50¢ | $201 | +67% | 2026-12-31 | |
| Open | 8,000 | 45¢ | $200 | +6% | 2026-11-03 | |
| Open | 3,222 | 35¢ | $127 | +11% | 2026-11-03 | |
| Open | 2,696 | 16¢ | $114 | +27% | 2026-09-01 | |
| Open | 3,000 | 70¢ | $112 | +5% | 2027-01-01 | |
| Open | 1,500 | 84¢ | $93 | +7% | 2026-12-31 | |
| Open | 1,501 | 40¢ | $92 | +15% | 2027-01-01 | |
| Open | 800 | 41¢ | $76 | +23% | 1970-01-01 | |
| Open | 22,851 | 3¢ | $62 | +8% | 2028-11-07 | |
| Open | 14,682 | 7¢ | $62 | +6% | 2028-11-07 | |
| Open | 1,626 | 28¢ | $54 | +12% | 2026-08-11 | |
| Open | 15,000 | 5¢ | $48 | +6% | 2026-09-30 | |
| Open | 20,291 | 3¢ | $47 | +7% | 2026-09-01 | |
| Open | 1,621 | 33¢ | $44 | +8% | 2026-11-01 | |
| Open | 703 | 13¢ | $42 | +46% | 2026-09-15 | |
| Open | 1,000 | 81¢ | $35 | +4% | 2027-01-01 | |
| Open | 1,443 | 50¢ | $33 | +5% | 2026-08-30 | |
| Open | 5,007 | 82¢ | $33 | +1% | 2026-12-31 | |
| Open | 14,999 | 96¢ | $18 | +0% | 2026-12-31 | |
| Open | 549 | 88¢ | $16 | +3% | 2026-12-31 | |
| Open | 344 | 11¢ | $8 | +23% | 2026-12-31 | |
| Open | 2,029 | 67¢ | $0 | +0% | 2026-12-31 | |
| Open | 46,537 | 1¢ | $0 | +0% | 2028-11-07 | |
| Open | 1,000 | 27¢ | $0 | 0% | 2027-01-01 | |
| Open | 115 | 3¢ | -$4 | -99% | 2026-08-11 | |
| Open | 400 | 12¢ | -$6 | -13% | 2027-01-01 | |
| Open | 160 | 11¢ | -$8 | -42% | 2026-12-31 | |
| Open | 902 | 2¢ | -$13 | -57% | 2026-11-03 | |
| Open | 665 | 43¢ | -$25 | -9% | 2026-12-31 | |
| Open | 150 | 27¢ | -$29 | -72% | 2026-03-31 | |
| Open | 500 | 34¢ | -$30 | -18% | 2027-01-01 | |
| Open | 554 | 21¢ | -$45 | -39% | 2026-12-31 | |
| Open | 3,321 | 9¢ | -$88 | -29% | 2026-10-01 | |
| Open | 1,250 | 21¢ | -$136 | -51% | 2026-12-31 | |
| Open | 10,000 | 9¢ | -$310 | -34% | 2026-09-01 | |
| Open | 2,034 | 40¢ | -$497 | -61% | 2026-12-31 | |
| Open | 2,613 | 25¢ | -$506 | -78% | 2026-12-31 | |
| Open | 5,000 | 19¢ | -$675 | -71% | 2026-09-30 | |
| Open | 40,000 | 50¢ | -$10.7K | -53% | 2028-11-07 |