ConvexlyWallet ledger
0x39d0…4fe8
This wallet's resolved record, plus a live snapshot of its current open positions. Public Polymarket data, descriptive only (not a skill claim).
Resolved positions
49
Realized PnL
$1.7K
Win rate
57%
Realized edge
-0.039
Canonical resolved record reconstructed by the analyzer (the same numbers the analyzer and leaderboard report). Realized edge -0.039 across 49 resolved positions, 95% CI [-0.18, +0.10]. Descriptive diagnostics from settled public trades, not a skill claim and not a forecast.
Current open positions
Live holdings snapshot from Polymarket right now (14 open). These are unsettled positions, not part of the resolved record above.
| Open | 14,712 | 68¢ | $3.7K | +37% | 2026-12-31 | |
| Open | 23,500 | 70¢ | $3.3K | +20% | 2026-12-31 | |
| Open | 4,234 | 51¢ | $2.0K | +93% | 2026-08-31 | |
| Open | 2,409 | 60¢ | $922 | +64% | 2026-09-01 | |
| Open | 5,623 | 79¢ | $904 | +20% | 2027-01-01 | |
| Open | 3,354 | 74¢ | $715 | +29% | 2026-12-31 | |
| Open | 5,176 | 77¢ | $185 | +5% | 2026-12-31 | |
| Open | 4,400 | 68¢ | $179 | +6% | 2026-09-30 | |
| Open | 4,535 | 71¢ | $109 | +3% | 2026-12-31 | |
| Open | 827 | 77¢ | $102 | +16% | 2026-12-31 | |
| Open | 1,901 | 67¢ | $80 | +6% | 2026-11-03 | |
| Open | 2,800 | 70¢ | -$16 | -1% | 2026-09-16 | |
| Open | 4,600 | 70¢ | -$105 | -3% | 2026-09-16 | |
| Open | 4,019 | 17¢ | -$319 | -47% | 2028-11-07 |