Wallet ledger

0x391d…def1

This wallet's resolved record, plus a live snapshot of its current open positions. Public Polymarket data, descriptive only (not a skill claim).

No resolved record on file for this wallet yet.

The resolved record (positions, realized PnL, win rate, realized edge) is reconstructed by the analyzer. This wallet has not been analyzed yet, so there is nothing to show here. Run it through the analyzer and this tab fills in afterward.

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Current open positions

Live holdings snapshot from Polymarket right now (112 open). These are unsettled positions, not part of the resolved record above.


Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026? No	Open	643	15¢	$33	+35%	1970-01-01
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No	Open	409	61¢	$33	+13%	1970-01-01
Over 30M humans verified on World Network by December 31? No	Open	289	89¢	$29	+11%	2027-01-01
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026? No	Open	265	84¢	$22	+10%	2026-10-01
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30? No	Open	117	49¢	$16	+29%	2026-10-01
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No	Open	410	61¢	$15	+6%	1970-01-01
Probable FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes	Open	802	10¢	$12	+16%	2028-01-01
Will Bangsamoro Federalist Party (BFP) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections? Yes	Open	29	21¢	$12	+193%	2026-09-14
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on August 30? Yes	Open	51	31¢	$9	+60%	2026-08-30
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes	Open	234	61¢	$8	+6%	1970-01-01
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C on August 30? Yes	Open	40	22¢	$6	+67%	2026-08-30
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on August 31? No	Open	76	48¢	$4	+12%	2026-08-31
Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? No	Open	334	76¢	$4	+2%	2026-10-04
Will the Democratic Party win the CO-06 House seat? Yes	Open	232	93¢	$3	+2%	2026-11-03
Will Israel strike 9 countries in 2026? Yes	Open	1,250	1¢	$3	+29%	2027-01-01
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No	Open	193	67¢	$3	+2%	2026-12-31
LoL: EXILE esports vs CITA Kaizen - Game 2 Winner CITA Kaizen	Open	15	50¢	$3	+38%	2026-09-01
Will the United Hearts Movement win the most seats in the 2025 Central African Republic National Assembly election? No	Open	175	6¢	$2	+21%	2026-06-30
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No	Open	60	47¢	$2	+7%	2026-12-31
Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes	Open	1,249	0¢	$2	+54%	2026-12-31
Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes	Open	70	21¢	$2	+12%	2026-10-04
Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31? Yes	Open	71	52¢	$2	+5%	2027-01-01
Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31? No	Open	3	25¢	$2	+200%	2027-01-01
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on August 30? No	Open	8	83¢	$1	+20%	2026-08-30
Will Jordan Bardella leave the National Rally by December 31, 2026? Yes	Open	300	3¢	$1	+10%	2027-01-01
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026? No	Open	3	67¢	$1	+37%	2027-01-01
Abstract FDV above $1B one day after launch? No	Open	3	63¢	$1	+37%	2028-01-01
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? No	Open	257	97¢	$0	+0%	2026-10-04
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on August 31? No	Open	5	66¢	$0	+8%	2026-08-31
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31? No	Open	2	83¢	$0	+15%	2026-09-01
Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by June 30, 2027? No	Open	13	84¢	$0	+2%	2027-07-01
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? Yes	Open	2	9¢	$0	+94%	2026-10-01
Will the United Hearts Movement win the most seats in the 2025 Central African Republic National Assembly election? Yes	Open	4	93¢	-$0	-0%	2026-06-30
Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes	Open	8	1¢	-$0	-50%	2026-12-31
Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026? Yes	Open	2	55¢	-$0	-3%	2027-01-01
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026? Yes	Open	300	3¢	-$0	-0%	2026-10-01
Will Israel strike 10 countries in 2026? Yes	Open	5	2¢	-$0	-86%	2027-01-01
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on August 31? Yes	Open	8	31¢	-$0	-7%	2026-08-31
Will Israel strike 14 countries in 2026? Yes	Open	50	0¢	-$0	-88%	2027-01-01
Will Geraldo Alckmin finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes	Open	74	0¢	-$0	-83%	2026-10-04
Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes	Open	133	0¢	-$0	-50%	2026-12-31
Abstract FDV above $3B one day after launch? Yes	Open	19	6¢	-$0	-20%	2028-01-01
Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes	Open	300	0¢	-$0	-50%	2026-12-31
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on August 31? Yes	Open	151	28¢	-$0	-1%	2026-08-31
Conservatives flip Liberals for Canada Seats Polls in 2026? Yes	Open	3	23¢	-$1	-79%	2027-01-01
Will Fernando Haddad finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes	Open	18	4¢	-$1	-99%	2026-10-04
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes	Open	206	0¢	-$1	-88%	2026-10-04
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes	Open	85	51¢	-$1	-2%	2026-12-31
Will Hibachi launch a token by September 30, 2026? Yes	Open	27	6¢	-$1	-65%	2027-01-01
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.00 in August? Yes	Open	10	28¢	-$1	-37%	2026-09-01
Will Seattle Seahawks visit the White House in 2026? Yes	Open	2	73¢	-$1	-67%	2027-01-01
Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes	Open	1,241	1¢	-$1	-17%	2026-12-31
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on August 30? Yes	Open	11	10¢	-$1	-99%	2026-08-30
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on August 30? No	Open	10	63¢	-$1	-20%	2026-08-30
Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes	Open	1,249	0¢	-$1	-29%	2026-12-31
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on August 31? Yes	Open	94	48¢	-$1	-3%	2026-08-31
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Turkey by September 30, 2026? Yes	Open	54	3¢	-$1	-93%	2026-10-01
Will Israel strike 15 or more countries in 2026? Yes	Open	153	1¢	-$2	-88%	2027-01-01
Will Hezbollah win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election? Yes	Open	50	5¢	-$2	-89%	2026-05-31
Will Aaron Rodgers retire before next season? Yes	Open	54	5¢	-$2	-85%	2026-09-10
Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes	Open	1,245	0¢	-$2	-41%	2026-12-31
Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026? Yes	Open	263	3¢	-$2	-29%	2027-01-01
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026? Yes	Open	300	4¢	-$2	-19%	2026-10-01
Will National Dialogue Party win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election? Yes	Open	111	2¢	-$2	-98%	2026-05-31
Will Israel strike 11 countries in 2026? Yes	Open	737	1¢	-$3	-71%	2027-01-01
Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes	Open	1,249	0¢	-$3	-47%	2026-12-31
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes	Open	115	34¢	-$3	-7%	2026-12-31
U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027? Yes	Open	83	11¢	-$3	-32%	2027-01-01
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman by September 30, 2026? Yes	Open	115	4¢	-$3	-75%	2026-10-01
Will the Labor Party (PT) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election? Yes	Open	159	2¢	-$3	-98%	2027-06-06
Will Ayelet Shaked be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes	Open	1,250	0¢	-$3	-64%	2026-12-31
Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by October 31? Yes	Open	101	45¢	-$4	-8%	2026-11-01
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026? Yes	Open	141	5¢	-$4	-52%	2026-09-01
Will Ofer Winter be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes	Open	300	3¢	-$4	-44%	2026-12-31
Will Citizens’ Movement (MC) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election? Yes	Open	100	5¢	-$4	-97%	2027-06-06
Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? Yes	Open	144	5¢	-$4	-69%	2026-10-01
Will Israel strike 8 countries in 2026? Yes	Open	1,196	2¢	-$5	-24%	2027-01-01
Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026? Yes	Open	297	15¢	-$6	-12%	2027-01-01
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on August 30? Yes	Open	32	18¢	-$6	-100%	2026-08-30
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? Yes	Open	257	5¢	-$6	-44%	2027-01-01
Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes	Open	1,243	1¢	-$6	-54%	2026-12-31
Will Amal Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election? Yes	Open	1,070	3¢	-$6	-22%	2026-05-31
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No	Open	85	39¢	-$7	-22%	1970-01-01
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026? Yes	Open	38	32¢	-$9	-73%	2027-01-01
Will Amy Klobuchar be the next Senate Majority Leader? Yes	Open	59	15¢	-$9	-100%	2027-01-03
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on August 30? Yes	Open	182	23¢	-$10	-24%	2026-08-30
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? No	Open	149	35¢	-$13	-25%	2026-12-31
Trump meets with Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31? Yes	Open	270	7¢	-$13	-70%	2027-01-01
Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026? Yes	Open	267	7¢	-$15	-84%	2026-10-01
Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027? Yes	Open	298	17¢	-$16	-31%	2027-01-01
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by August 31? Yes	Open	600	3¢	-$17	-95%	2026-09-01
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.20 in August? Yes	Open	300	7¢	-$19	-92%	2026-09-01
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? No	Open	454	20¢	-$22	-24%	2026-10-01
Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes	Open	1,249	2¢	-$23	-93%	2026-12-31
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes	Open	287	16¢	-$24	-53%	2026-12-31
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31 Yes	Open	300	20¢	-$26	-43%	2027-01-01
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes	Open	300	40¢	-$31	-25%	2026-10-04
Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026? Yes	Open	477	10¢	-$31	-63%	2026-12-31
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31? Yes	Open	299	15¢	-$32	-70%	2026-09-01
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? No	Open	1,200	4¢	-$34	-77%	2026-08-31
Will Frontier Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31? Yes	Open	300	19¢	-$34	-60%	2027-01-01
Will Israel strike 7 countries in 2026? Yes	Open	917	5¢	-$36	-82%	2027-01-01
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by September 30, 2026? Yes	Open	300	24¢	-$37	-50%	2026-10-01
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C or below on August 30? Yes	Open	203	19¢	-$39	-100%	2026-08-30
Will Steve Daines be the next Senate Majority Leader? Yes	Open	224	20¢	-$45	-99%	2027-01-03
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30? Yes	Open	600	47¢	-$62	-22%	2026-10-01
Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027? No	Open	597	44¢	-$67	-26%	2028-01-01
Iran nuclear test before 2027? Yes	Open	718	15¢	-$73	-69%	2027-01-01
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? No	Open	1,200	24¢	-$92	-32%	2026-10-31
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? No	Open	1,162	20¢	-$106	-46%	2026-09-30
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 No	Open	1,177	26¢	-$124	-41%	2026-12-31
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? Yes	Open	1,221	16¢	-$145	-73%	2026-12-31

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