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Wallet Ratings

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Polymarket wallets ranked by Edge Score V3b. Calibration, conviction, and discipline. Paste your wallet at the analyzer to compare a resolved record against the cohort.

CalibrationWallets
Updated yesterdayCohort size 50 wallets. Next refresh 06:00 UTC.
Edge Score V3b · frozen-coefficient methodology

Edge Score predictive power over time

Monthly rolling Spearman correlation between Edge Score V3b and out-of-sample wallet performance. Higher is better. Brier-only baseline shown for contrast.

median ρ = 0.375

26 monthly windows

0.00.20.40.6Oct 25Dec 25Mar 26
Edge Score V3b ρBrier-only baseline

Edge Score distribution

How the published cohort distributes across the 0-100 scale. Median + p25/p75 marked inline.

median = 96.3

n = 50

0-10: 0 wallets (0%)10-20: 0 wallets (0%)20-30: 1 wallets (2%)30-40: 0 wallets (0%)40-50: 2 wallets (4%)50-60: 4 wallets (8%)60-70: 4 wallets (8%)70-80: 0 wallets (0%)80-90: 2 wallets (4%)90-100: 37 wallets (74%)0255075100
Wallets per binMedianp25-p75 band

Showing 5 wallets with 100+ resolved positions. Calibration stabilizes around 30 resolved positions per the V1 methodology paper, so this view drops the noisier tail. 45 smaller-sample wallets are hidden by this filter.

All wallets30+ positions50+ positions100+ positions
Venue footprint snapshot:Polymarket live 100.Kalshi live 1,000

Leaderboard caveat

Leaderboard rank explains why a wallet scored highly in the historical cohort. It is not a recommendation to mirror trades or assume future wallet performance.

Skilled Wallet #1crypto· 2vStrong sample

0x••••…•••• · 155 positions · $1.4K PnL

97.7

Edge

Skilled Wallet #2politics· 3vStrong sample

0x••••…•••• · 123 positions · $8.6K PnL

96.3

Edge

Skilled Wallet #3crypto· 2vStrong sample

0x••••…•••• · 218 positions · $31.0K PnL

95.5

Edge

4
Skilled Wallet #4tech· 3vStrong sample

0x••••…•••• · 135 positions · $15.2K PnL

64

Edge

5
Skilled Wallet #5geopolitics· 3vStrong sample

0x••••…•••• · 163 positions · $53.7K PnL

57

Edge

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