Wallet Ratings
LivePositive-PnL Polymarket wallets ranked by Edge Score V3b, a descriptive behavioral composite of calibration, conviction, and discipline. It describes the resolved record, not a forecast of future returns. Paste your wallet at the analyzer to compare against the cohort.
Wallets ranked
37
clear the positive-PnL gate
Top Edge Score
99.5
Median Edge Score
54.7
Reference cohort
50
frozen fit
Edge Score vs same-window PnL (in-sample diagnostic)
Monthly rolling rank correlation between Edge Score V3b and signed-log PnL computed on the SAME in-window positions. This is an in-sample contemporaneous diagnostic, not a forward test: the score and the realized PnL share the same positions and the dominant input (conviction) is PnL-derived, so it overstates predictive skill. The honest forward result is the ex-ante per-wallet temporal holdout (out-of-sample Spearman +0.11, 95% CI [0.05, 0.18], which did not clear the +0.30 threshold it was filed against). Brier-only baseline shown for contrast.
median ρ = 0.375
26 monthly windows
Edge Score distribution
How the published cohort distributes across the 0-100 scale. Median + p25/p75 marked inline.
median = 54.6
n = 50
Showing 5 wallets with 100+ resolved positions. Calibration stabilizes around 30 resolved positions per the V1 methodology paper, so this view drops the noisier tail. 32 smaller-sample wallets are hidden by this filter.
Leaderboard caveat
Leaderboard rank explains why a wallet scored highly in the historical cohort. It is not a recommendation to mirror trades or assume future wallet performance.
How to read this board. Edge Score is a descriptive behavioral composite of how a wallet positioned on its resolved public history (calibration, conviction, and discipline). It describes the past record; out-of-sample forward-skill validation is still pending, so a rank is not a forecast of future returns.
This board is shown for wallets with positive realized PnL. 13 cohort wallets are held back from the public view because realized PnL is not positive or is unavailable.
0x••••…•••• · 134 positions · $951.4K PnL
Cal
25
Conv
54
Disc
12
33
Edge
0x••••…•••• · 214 positions · $1.6M PnL
Cal
30
Conv
58
Disc
5
31
Edge
0x••••…•••• · 126 positions · $130.5K PnL
Cal
33
Conv
34
Disc
13
15
Edge
0x••••…•••• · 181 positions · $268.5K PnL
Cal
26
Conv
31
Disc
7
7
Edge
0x••••…•••• · 111 positions · $172.9K PnL
Cal
6
Conv
32
Disc
16
6
Edge
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