{
  "schema_version": "settlement-boundary-recompute/confirmatory-read/2",
  "filing": "AsPredicted #296461",
  "computed_at_utc": "2026-09-04T12:27:04.096735+00:00",
  "rule": "the filing's accrual gate: the confirmatory read is the first daily artifact at which both floors hold; under settlement time that is the archive of 20260711",
  "settlement_operator": "chain",
  "rows_kept_on_scheduled_date": {},
  "inputs": {
    "frozen_artifact": {
      "path": "docs/ops/evidence/clv-edge-forward-verdict/latest.json",
      "sha256": "bc545753eac1ea6489dbdb2005ee417c708d300040a999b99584cac160c209c9"
    },
    "ranking_clv": {
      "path": "docs/ops/evidence/clv-edge-forward-verdict/ranking_clv.json",
      "sha256": "cb8c21a6253087092dfdd411f1b219f2916e91aeb455b2465b8ea0c997b0924a"
    },
    "settlement_extracts": [
      {
        "path": "docs/ops/evidence/settlement-recompute/2026-09-03/chain-settlements-296461.jsonl.gz",
        "sha256": "a654ea4338d7fae3743cb30c8e396e499999732bc15cd2cc30b3df320d739625"
      },
      {
        "path": "docs/ops/evidence/settlement-recompute/2026-09-03/chain-settlements-294147.jsonl.gz",
        "sha256": "3049cb79151736dce9178a8cbb684623fe242dade618eee6a3da2b325c341f1e"
      }
    ],
    "operator": "chain",
    "replay_module": "services/api/scripts/clv_edge/clv_forward_verdict_replay.py (imported, unchanged)",
    "archives": [
      {
        "path": "services/api/scripts/skilled_wallet_fdr/forward_data/20260608.jsonl",
        "sha256": "b60a7e3cfbd8d1095f7270cbacfa227a8152909f26a376a417a0ce199f19068b"
      },
      {
        "path": "services/api/scripts/skilled_wallet_fdr/forward_data/20260609.jsonl",
        "sha256": "0a9ceb3ae07baadc5ce047932a75c80ca8e9fbb072766c80a3417a33dafffa16"
      },
      {
        "path": "services/api/scripts/skilled_wallet_fdr/forward_data/20260610.jsonl",
        "sha256": "c35642e940a87e7656bcc4cf333d3d2a0b88eb1de4a2b01bd51296d7d7d5f11f"
      },
      {
        "path": "services/api/scripts/skilled_wallet_fdr/forward_data/20260611.jsonl",
        "sha256": "c27aa0c5de600a49b6e09a11864c5aea8d94151796314a960a028ec9ce17efee"
      },
      {
        "path": "services/api/scripts/skilled_wallet_fdr/forward_data/20260612.jsonl",
        "sha256": "6c6c982bd946c880b1377a9fd281d2e502b20f3c80fcf40ab56f686db022a2ae"
      },
      {
        "path": "services/api/scripts/skilled_wallet_fdr/forward_data/20260613.jsonl",
        "sha256": "3134d5996aff65e1c230d798ff89196571b366899c64ae99d1bedb9a872faf56"
      },
      {
        "path": "services/api/scripts/skilled_wallet_fdr/forward_data/20260614.jsonl",
        "sha256": "8385665df62dcb62383f5784d2495409b1f4aa6e89988342368c150444669d1f"
      },
      {
        "path": "services/api/scripts/skilled_wallet_fdr/forward_data/20260615.jsonl",
        "sha256": "8b7174b3a9be2a89fa44148cb40d1baec8939b502b18b3e3ce4c34ade0a72739"
      },
      {
        "path": "services/api/scripts/skilled_wallet_fdr/forward_data/20260616.jsonl",
        "sha256": "00770f0b2e0ef0502ca96253b4015853b62bb7ec4e6da03b708d1c20289ac44a"
      },
      {
        "path": "services/api/scripts/skilled_wallet_fdr/forward_data/20260617.jsonl",
        "sha256": "119138a9a8356c2805f1f8e79f8b91c1f629401864a217d24eac5d88a13e3353"
      },
      {
        "path": "services/api/scripts/skilled_wallet_fdr/forward_data/20260618.jsonl",
        "sha256": "8632080eae8323ad58666f1ad65f21f177818f8615723f7bfe1d4347b2035b24"
      },
      {
        "path": "services/api/scripts/skilled_wallet_fdr/forward_data/20260620.jsonl",
        "sha256": "1db391b976351ce509fc5b12c4f802434123d5b06edb72faa41a4e0331c86ef0"
      },
      {
        "path": "services/api/scripts/skilled_wallet_fdr/forward_data/20260621.jsonl",
        "sha256": "145977e965f2e1b38958b365efc8e2022214e55e78eaadf87a5e16a9efbd5574"
      },
      {
        "path": "services/api/scripts/skilled_wallet_fdr/forward_data/20260622.jsonl",
        "sha256": "923638c96ff12c6c608fc15add67796166c7cc70eb227e460f2c997cb349a4a0"
      },
      {
        "path": "services/api/scripts/skilled_wallet_fdr/forward_data/20260623.jsonl",
        "sha256": "2ae6beb48ab0284bf86cd9543f52d9f1ce1809839982dc65712cb6489531432e"
      },
      {
        "path": "services/api/scripts/skilled_wallet_fdr/forward_data/20260625.jsonl",
        "sha256": "16893ed244908099e37ad259e0571f1bac4d30e3216914fae5105de6cc1b7fd5"
      },
      {
        "path": "services/api/scripts/skilled_wallet_fdr/forward_data/20260626.jsonl",
        "sha256": "802601491fdd68e323e8ee8d4dbbfeada12bf91bbee2560eba311b67d658c91d"
      },
      {
        "path": "services/api/scripts/skilled_wallet_fdr/forward_data/20260627.jsonl",
        "sha256": "699c0f4f5ce37c2b6abcfae03ef084998fe9be4483b1e973fa853f287f2f130a"
      },
      {
        "path": "services/api/scripts/skilled_wallet_fdr/forward_data/20260628.jsonl",
        "sha256": "d628a9672a8caee60927a5d1a28fb010af79be45de32e22019fb3f83803457e9"
      },
      {
        "path": "services/api/scripts/skilled_wallet_fdr/forward_data/20260629.jsonl",
        "sha256": "b4bf8c0fdd697d0a155aa30dfd7669e26d09dd1fd6d66b276a099148f7053775"
      },
      {
        "path": "services/api/scripts/skilled_wallet_fdr/forward_data/20260630.jsonl",
        "sha256": "8acc5f187cb0f4bd6469954a531bfea7f340bd255174e255166360b0d81c4df2"
      },
      {
        "path": "services/api/scripts/skilled_wallet_fdr/forward_data/20260701.jsonl",
        "sha256": "741d5a457529019c7014c8abad86cc2695f2f4d9f1f584f98fd5982a573f230a"
      },
      {
        "path": "services/api/scripts/skilled_wallet_fdr/forward_data/20260702.jsonl",
        "sha256": "b7106a5406f971bf33ba64241a67145a70253c8f4368a19b0b34d828071fc6ba"
      },
      {
        "path": "services/api/scripts/skilled_wallet_fdr/forward_data/20260703.jsonl",
        "sha256": "ccfd783fc3fa73991de70fde2beb27cb39b8e8c2133a6ac1f6873a7e32885709"
      },
      {
        "path": "services/api/scripts/skilled_wallet_fdr/forward_data/20260704.jsonl",
        "sha256": "821be76d5cc22f188f5d7493e479444fc9b21c6365dce08aa15156c7f2a119a2"
      },
      {
        "path": "services/api/scripts/skilled_wallet_fdr/forward_data/20260705.jsonl",
        "sha256": "ed2714ea35bea7a02942d9e6f50e3ead2f0ad8f3f1e78d5976d4ec5c0d48ae7f"
      },
      {
        "path": "services/api/scripts/skilled_wallet_fdr/forward_data/20260706.jsonl",
        "sha256": "1fba2c26683d78a8b6dd577938f6317ce29b069bf55acffd67d3ec50e335cebe"
      },
      {
        "path": "services/api/scripts/skilled_wallet_fdr/forward_data/20260707.jsonl",
        "sha256": "7a017ecf6eff1f257bb33ad0f17c5e8504ebdb84f559a5b88e1e75b2d5548be3"
      },
      {
        "path": "services/api/scripts/skilled_wallet_fdr/forward_data/20260708.jsonl",
        "sha256": "c0e55946a8d6c4cee9ba8e173519f331e94070c4bbdadc038b23f98bbe07970c"
      },
      {
        "path": "services/api/scripts/skilled_wallet_fdr/forward_data/20260709.jsonl",
        "sha256": "cbf488d845d6d60637e62e9e736e310a8ca68666754a65bc2315cf1de6823cab"
      },
      {
        "path": "services/api/scripts/skilled_wallet_fdr/forward_data/20260710.jsonl",
        "sha256": "e36c71112478331fd969da57a051b28485ccc7b334ff3038e0a2b6d59733c6e1"
      },
      {
        "path": "services/api/scripts/skilled_wallet_fdr/forward_data/20260711.jsonl",
        "sha256": "217b7205bcdf9fb40566ec0dd06ee9ad8c0faffca7e10807c9089f48d0237798"
      }
    ]
  },
  "disclosure": "RECONSTRUCTION made on 2026-09-04 by re-applying the filed stopping rule to the frozen archive on settlement time, after the 2026-07-03 pass (rho +0.159 over 464 wallets, computed on scheduled end dates) and the below-floor number at that artifact under settlement time (rho +0.145, 155 wallets, no verdict) were both known. The rule admits one answer and both settlement sources return the same archive. Later archives are descriptive only under the frozen rule.",
  "read": {
    "archive": "20260711",
    "verdict": "pass",
    "rho": 0.18830845983649272,
    "ci": {
      "point": 0.18830845983649272,
      "lo": 0.07120925178895955,
      "hi": 0.3023175213534465,
      "level": 0.95,
      "ci_method": "bootstrap_percentile_resample_wallets",
      "n_boot": 10000,
      "n_wallets": 304
    },
    "pass_conditions": {
      "rho_ge_bar": true,
      "ci_lo_gt_zero": true,
      "spearman_bar": 0.1
    },
    "n_wallets": 304,
    "n_forward_positions": 20100,
    "floor_status": {
      "ranking_coverage_met": true,
      "forward_wallets_met": true,
      "forward_pooled_met": true
    },
    "secondary_paired_diff": {
      "point_diff": 0.04467747033547187,
      "lo": -0.06236286498719518,
      "hi": 0.15313322964031797,
      "level": 0.95,
      "ci_method": "bootstrap_percentile_resample_wallets",
      "n_boot": 10000,
      "note": "Secondary comparison, NO pass/fail: forward Spearman(CLV-rank) minus forward Spearman(realized-edge-rank) against the shared forward DV."
    },
    "exclusion_counts": {
      "rows_total": 139049,
      "excluded_unparseable_date": 0,
      "excluded_before_window": 50579,
      "excluded_bad_resolution": 0,
      "excluded_micro_market": 10755,
      "excluded_bad_entry_price": 0,
      "excluded_missing_won": 0,
      "excluded_non_objective_won": 3972,
      "excluded_duplicate": 0,
      "qualifying_positions": 73743
    },
    "coverage": {
      "n_ranking_wallets_input": 3509,
      "n_ranking_wallets_clearing_floors": 2572,
      "n_forward_wallets_active": 1290,
      "n_forward_wallets_clearing_floor": 588,
      "note": "Every wallet count here is a DENOMINATOR travelling with the estimate: ranking-side wallets clearing both ranking floors, forward-side wallets clearing the forward per-wallet floor, and the intersection used for the correlation. Uncovered wallets are counted, never dropped silently."
    },
    "frozen": {
      "methodology_hash": "af24f0826cfc4945d251f68acdb503c373f3c873bdaaaeb1e1a139bad9dfc788",
      "master_seed": 20260613,
      "n_boot": 10000,
      "ci_level": 0.95,
      "spearman_bar": 0.1,
      "checkpoint_convention": "h24"
    }
  }
}